The dynamics of the Ukraine war will be a risk factor for the West

Analysts believe the war in Ukraine will not end soon, given the momentum it is taking. A prolonged war could pose a risk to Ukraine’s Western allies. Many analysts have warned that the people of countries that provide military and economic aid to Ukraine could become angry if the war continues for a long time. This risk is likely to increase especially if inflation increases due to war and economic crisis deepens. As a result, those countries may also fall into political crisis.

Another risk is the situation in Taiwan. People’s interest in the war in Ukraine may decrease if the US and China’s geopolitical tensions over Taiwan are out of bounds. Therefore, many analysts believe that this situation may increase the pressure on the President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky to advance the negotiations for the end of the war and peace.

In this regard, Bruno Tartarais, a researcher at the Paris-based French Foundation for Strategic Research (FSR), said, “The situation is quite complex. China is behaving more aggressively than ever. A person like Trump wants to come back to power in 2024 in the United States. Popular support for populist leaders is also growing in Europe. So, whatever happens on the battlefield in the next six months, militarily Russia is likely to be ahead.’

Another risk is the situation in Taiwan. People’s interest in the war in Ukraine may decrease if the US and China’s geopolitical tensions over Taiwan are out of bounds. Therefore, many analysts believe that this situation may increase the pressure on the President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky to advance the negotiations for the end of the war and peace.

In this situation, Europeans’ feelings for Ukrainians have started to decrease. This month, around 70,000 people took to the streets of Prague, the capital of the Czech Republic, to protest. According to them, the Czech government has imposed the plight of Ukrainians on its own citizens. Evidence of rising fuel prices.

Such an attitude is also seen among the people of many other European countries. They are blaming the war in Ukraine for their increased spending. According to Emmanuel Dupuy, a researcher at the French security research institute IPSE European, the current situation could lead to new protests like the ‘Yellow Beast’ protests across Europe. The leadership of many countries could be put at risk anew.

According to many analysts, European Union (EU) sanctions against Moscow over the Ukraine war could backfire. As a result, many European companies will stop doing business in Russia. As a result, these companies may fall into recession, which will intensify the economic crisis in Europe.

US President Joe Biden has been providing billions of dollars in aid and arms to Ukraine. Because the US administration is now more concerned about China’s aggressive behavior.